At 9pm tonight, President Trump will announce his Supreme Court pick. People close to the White House have said for several days that Brett Kavanaugh of the DC Court of Appeals is the leading contender. But I cannot help but note an unexplained jump in the price of Amy Coney Barrett of the Seventh Circuit in those online sites that treat things like this like a stock market. In fact, there is an overnight rumor that Barrett is the pick, though no one really knows.
Amy Coney Barrett would be the most logical pick possible for Donald Trump. The President would be choosing a woman and the President likes to pick women as a good juxtaposition for the hate he gets over his own treatment of women. Likewise, it would put feminists in the funny position of opposing a qualified female.
Barrett’s nomination would also remind wayward Republican voters that there is both a culture war on and a midterm election coming up. Those voters would be reminded of these things because Democrats and the left cannot help but overplay their hand against a devout Christian. During Barrett’s original confirmation fight, Democrats belittled her faith repeatedly and several declared their opposition to her because she is a Christian.
This, in turn, will put Democrats in Trump states in a difficult position. From Jones in Alabama to Manchin in Virginia to Donnelly in Indiana, voting against a woman assailed by the left as too Christian will not be good for their re-elections.
Barrett’s nomination will also put the Senate GOP in a terrible position as she may lose Murkowski and Collins. That will resurface animosity towards John McCain from the Trump base who will no doubt demand he retire and let Arizona’s Governor put someone in who’d be there to vote for Barrett. It’d fire back up long simmer feuds over Mitch McConnell standing with Lisa Murkowski in Alaska. It’d resurface the questions of McConnell’s competency as leader given the Senate GOP’s failure to repeal Obamacare. In other words, it’ll remind Trump’s base that only Trump is for them.
All these factors suggest Barrett would be the most Trumpian of Trump picks and the logical pick to keep with Trump’s culture war theme in the run up to the midterms. That said, this is President Trump so the only real logical thing to do is tune in at 9pm to find out.