We now know that White House officials did order defense analysts to water down intelligence reports on the growing threat of ISIS so that they reflected not facts, but a political narrative the White House wanted.

On top of that, today Turkey shot down a Russian fighter jet. Yep. But it gets better. As the pilots descended from the plane, Turkish fighters in Syria killed both pilots.

The Turks say the plane violated Turkish airspace repeatedly. The Russians deny it, saying the plane was only flying over Syria. Of course, Turkish fighters in Syria killed the pilots.

The Turks in Syria were fighting the Syrian regime. They are called Syrian Turkmen, who are Syrians of Turkish ancestry and the Syrian government had oppressed them.

Complicating all of this is that Turkey is a NATO ally and if the Russians attack Turkey, well then NATO is obligated to side with Turkey. While Turkey may be a NATO ally, it has grown increasingly hostile to Western values in the past few years and has risked its relationship with the European Union and NATO.

The odds are that Russia does not invade Turkey, but Russia is certainly going to seek some retribution.

It is worth pointing out that none of this would have happened had Barack Obama chosen to lead in the first place.