Zogby has always undercounted Republicans and I’m expecting him to show a Bush crash by the end of the week so he can hype a Kerry comeback story. He’s been predicting a Kerry win all year.

Nonethess, this 3 point lead is good. I am skeptical. I am also skeptical of this:

About 5 percent of likely voters are still undecided heading into the final full week of the campaign, but Bush has opened a 12-point lead on Kerry among independents.

A 12 point lead? I don’t know about that. I do know that the Kerry-UN story can open up a lead for Bush.