While I’m worried about Bush, I think he can hold his own. I do not, however, think the media can hold its.
I think that the media will say that Kerry held his own, which should not be enough, but will be. I think the media will stop short of saying Kerry won — at best for him it will be a draw.
I agree with the rest of the blogosphere that the “Kerry is great closer” crap will surface in earnest.